16 124 818 livres à l’intérieur 175 langues
2 047 051 livres numériques à l’intérieur 101 langues
Cela ne vous convient pas ? Aucun souci à se faire ! Vous pouvez renvoyer le produit dans les 30 jours
Impossible de faire fausse route avec un bon d’achat. Le destinataire du cadeau peut choisir ce qu'il veut parmi notre sélection.
Politique de retour sous 30 jours
Commodity futures prices are widely used as a tool for forecasting and predicting future commodity spot prices. Indeed, commodity futures prices do have certain forecasting power. However, their explanation power is strongly limited. In particular, this thesis tests whether WTI and Brent crude oil futures prices can forecast future spot prices accurately. Based on economic theory and two conflicting research views, we apply an OLS regression in order to show the empirical poorness of WTI and Brent crude oil futures prices as forecasting agents of future spot prices. In addition, we reject the null hypothesis of an unbiased and efficient market for the majority of the analyzed WTI and Brent futures contracts. We provide both theoretical and empirical evidence indicating that WTI and Brent futures prices cannot forecast future spot prices accurately.